Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Silveira vs Nikita Krylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nikita Krylov
ua

Nikita Krylov

“The Miner”

31-12-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1691Good

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRaty Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh SilveiraNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Nikita KrylovNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.05
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.23

Trajectory

Josh SilveiraNikita Krylov
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
13 (42%)
6 (40%)
Submission
16 (52%)
3 (20%)
Decision
2 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikita Krylov60%
Josh Silveira 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 60% favorite over Josh Silveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Silveira's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1691), separated by just 4 points.

Josh Silveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.

Nikita Krylov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.