Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Thornburg vs Joshua Onwordi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-8-0Record7-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamBKK Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh ThornburgNow 1488
If they win+17→ 1505
If they lose-15→ 1473
Joshua OnwordiNow 1502
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh ThornburgJoshua Onwordi
145015001550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (75%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (13%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi79%
Josh Thornburg 21%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 79% favorite over Josh Thornburg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1488 vs 1502), separated by just 14 points.

Josh Thornburg enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Josh Thornburg finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Onwordi 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.