Joshua Onwordi vs Keiichiro Yamamiya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-7-0Record45-35-10
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
BKK FightersTeamGrabaka
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua OnwordiKeiichiro Yamamiya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Onwordi82%
Keiichiro Yamamiya 18%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 82% favorite over Keiichiro Yamamiya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1491), separated by just 11 points.
Keiichiro Yamamiya enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Keiichiro Yamamiya 31%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.