Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Onwordi vs Manuel Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
BKK FightersTeamTP Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua OnwordiNow 1502
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485
Manuel RodriguezNow 1489
If they win+25→ 1514
If they lose-23→ 1466

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
9.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
75%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joshua OnwordiManuel Rodriguez
1450150020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (29%)
Submission
7 (64%)
5 (71%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi70%
Manuel Rodriguez 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 70% favorite over Manuel Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1489), separated by just 13 points.

Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Rodriguez 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.