Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Onwordi vs Mario Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record6-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
BKK FightersTeamCalifornia Warriors

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua OnwordiNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
Mario RiveraNow 1492
If they win+16→ 1508
If they lose-16→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joshua OnwordiMario Rivera
140014501500200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (17%)
5 (71%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi63%
Mario Rivera 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 63% favorite over Mario Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1492), separated by just 10 points.

Mario Rivera enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Mario Rivera 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.