Joshua Onwordi vs Martin Sano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-7-0Record4-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach75"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
BKK FightersTeamNick Diaz Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485
If they win+25→ 1516
If they lose-23→ 1468
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua OnwordiMartin Sano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Onwordi79%
Martin Sano 21%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 79% favorite over Martin Sano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1491), separated by just 11 points.
Martin Sano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Martin Sano 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.