Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Onwordi vs Troy Mandaloniz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record3-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
BKK FightersTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua OnwordiNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
Troy MandalonizNow 1512
If they win+23→ 1535
If they lose-25→ 1487

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.10
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joshua OnwordiTroy Mandaloniz
14501500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (71%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi52%
Troy Mandaloniz 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 52% favorite over Troy Mandaloniz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Troy Mandaloniz's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1512), separated by just 10 points.

Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Troy Mandaloniz 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.