Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Weems vs Levan Makashvili

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record20-9-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach39,0"
154 lbsWeight146 lbs
Black Sails MMATeamMutant MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Levan MakashviliNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
65%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
61%
Strike defense
61%
4.77
Takedown avg.
3.67
40%
Takedown accuracy
42%
100%
Takedown defense
85%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joshua WeemsLevan Makashvili
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
9 (53%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (35%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Weems71%
Levan Makashvili 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 71% favorite over Levan Makashvili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1599), separated by just 2 points.

Levan Makashvili enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joshua Weems finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Levan Makashvili 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.