Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Weems vs Michel Quinones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach40,0"
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Black Sails MMATeamAmerican Top Team Wolfpack

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Michel QuinonesNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
65%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.98
61%
Strike defense
48%
4.77
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
36%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joshua WeemsMichel Quinones
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
9 (53%)
Submission
1 (13%)
6 (35%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Weems70%
Michel Quinones 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 70% favorite over Michel Quinones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Quinones's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1602), separated by just 1 points.

Michel Quinones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joshua Weems finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Michel Quinones 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.