Josiah Harrell vs Mike Perry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
68"Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grove City BJJTeamIndependent
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josiah HarrellMike Perry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josiah Harrell51%
Mike Perry 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josiah Harrell a 51% favorite over Mike Perry in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Perry's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1686), separated by just 1 points.
Josiah Harrell finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Mike Perry 80%.
Mike Perry carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.