Combat Edge Intelligence

Josua Hernández vs Roldan Sangcha-an

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record4-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
65"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Invictus No Love TeamTeamLakay MMA

What's at stake

Josua Hernández is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Roldan Sangcha-an carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josua HernándezNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
Roldan Sangcha-anNow 1462
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josua HernándezRoldan Sangcha-an
14501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Josua Hernández70%
Roldan Sangcha-an 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Josua Hernández a 70% favorite over Roldan Sangcha-an in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Josua Hernández holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1462, a 16-point edge.

Roldan Sangcha-an enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roldan Sangcha-an 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.