Combat Edge Intelligence

José Montanha vs Marcos Vinicius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record3-4-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight225 lbs
Gile Riberio TeamTeamAbsolute Combat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

José MontanhaNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Marcos ViniciusNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

José MontanhaMarcos Vinicius
15501600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

José Montanha53%
Marcos Vinicius 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes José Montanha a 53% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1581), separated by just 1 points.

José Montanha enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Marcos Vinicius enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

José Montanha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.