José Medina vs Ryan Gandra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record10-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74″Reach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
What's at stake
Ryan Gandra is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — José Medina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1559
If they lose-9→ 1527
If they win+9→ 1704
If they lose-23→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
José MedinaRyan Gandra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Gandra92%
José Medina 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 92% favorite over José Medina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Ryan Gandra holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1536, a 159-point edge.
José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ryan Gandra enters on a 9-fight win streak.
José Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 80%.
José Medina and Ryan Gandra share 1 common opponent: Zach Reese.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.