Combat Edge Intelligence

Jovan Leka vs Pedro Rizzo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pedro Rizzo
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Pedro Rizzo

“The Rock”

20-11-0HeavyweightFTF

1673Good

Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record20-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
259 lbsWeight244 lbs
Family Fight TeamTeamRuas Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jovan LekaNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Pedro RizzoNow 1673
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.01
75%
Strike accuracy
38%
0.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
44%
Strike defense
51%
1
Takedown avg.
0.29
100%
Takedown accuracy
29%
56%
Takedown defense
78%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jovan LekaPedro Rizzo
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
15 (75%)
4 (31%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (15%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jovan Leka72%
Pedro Rizzo 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Leka a 72% favorite over Pedro Rizzo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1673), separated by just 4 points.

Jovan Leka enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Jovan Leka finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Rizzo 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.