Jozef Wittner vs Matt Arroyo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record3-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA Top Team KosiceTeamGracie Tampa South
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jozef WittnerMatt Arroyo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jozef Wittner60%
Matt Arroyo 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 60% favorite over Matt Arroyo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1538), separated by just 2 points.
Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jozef Wittner finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Matt Arroyo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.