Combat Edge Intelligence

Jozef Wittner vs Randy Mboyo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight157 lbs
MMA Top Team KosiceTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jozef WittnerNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Randy MboyoNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jozef WittnerRandy Mboyo
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Mboyo70%
Jozef Wittner 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Mboyo a 70% favorite over Jozef Wittner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jozef Wittner's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1538), separated by just 2 points.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jozef Wittner finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Randy Mboyo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.