Combat Edge Intelligence

Juan Díaz vs Raufeon Stots

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Juan Díaz
pe

Juan Díaz

“Pegajoso”

16-1-1BantamweightUFC

1726Good

Tale of the tape

16-1-1Record21-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach72.5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram GymTeamRoufusport

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juan DíazNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Raufeon StotsNow 1727
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.82
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
3.01
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Juan DíazRaufeon Stots
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
3 (19%)
Submission
5 (24%)
8 (50%)
Decision
12 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Juan Díaz and Raufeon Stots within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1727), separated by just 1 points.

Juan Díaz enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Raufeon Stots enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Juan Díaz finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Raufeon Stots 43%.

Raufeon Stots carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.