Juan Espino vs Renan Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'8"
80,0"Reach85"
257 lbsWeight264 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Juan EspinoRenan Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Ferreira59%
Juan Espino 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 59% favorite over Juan Espino in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Espino's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Juan Espino finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.
Renan Ferreira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.