Juan Mott vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Juan Mott Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamPancrase Gym Sweden
What's at stake
Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Juan Mott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1504
If they lose-22→ 1456
If they win+22→ 1531
If they lose-26→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Juan MottKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson55%
Juan Mott 45%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 55% favorite over Juan Mott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1478, a 31-point edge.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Juan Mott finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.