Jules Bruchez vs Leonardo Guimaraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record15-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
184 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gladiator LATeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
Jules Bruchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1471
If they lose-25→ 1423
If they win+17→ 1449
If they lose-15→ 1417
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jules BruchezLeonardo Guimaraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Guimaraes57%
Jules Bruchez 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 57% favorite over Jules Bruchez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jules Bruchez's way (48%).
Jules Bruchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1448 to 1432, a 16-point edge.
Jules Bruchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.