Combat Edge Intelligence

Julia Polastri vs Kanako Murata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record12-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'1"
63"Reach34,0"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
CWB FighterTeamCombat Sports Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Julia PolastriNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Kanako MurataNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
55%
Strike accuracy
57%
5.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.40
57%
Strike defense
53%
0.73
Takedown avg.
3.38
80%
Takedown accuracy
56%
61%
Takedown defense
100%
0.37
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Julia PolastriKanako Murata
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
3 (21%)
Submission
4 (33%)
6 (43%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Julia Polastri60%
Kanako Murata 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Julia Polastri a 60% favorite over Kanako Murata in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kanako Murata's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1654), separated by just 6 points.

Kanako Murata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julia Polastri finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kanako Murata 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.