Combat Edge Intelligence

Julian Marquez vs Roger Narvaez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Julian Marquez
us

Julian Marquez

“The Cuban Missile Crisis”

9-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1576Solid
Roger Narvaez
us

Roger Narvaez

“The Silverback”

8-4-0MiddleweightFFC

1573Solid

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
72"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamFull Contact Fight Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Julian MarquezNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Roger NarvaezNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
45%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
51%
Strike defense
65%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
53%
Takedown defense
50%
2.57
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Julian MarquezRoger Narvaez
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (33%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Julian Marquez and Roger Narvaez within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1573), separated by just 3 points.

Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Roger Narvaez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julian Marquez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roger Narvaez 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.