Combat Edge Intelligence

Julie Kedzie vs Marilia Morais

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julie Kedzie
us

Julie Kedzie

“Fireball”

16-13-0BantamweightUFC

1478Average

Tale of the tape

16-13-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReachN/A
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamRasthai Temple

What's at stake

Marilia Morais is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Julie Kedzie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Julie KedzieNow 1478
If they win+18→ 1496
If they lose-14→ 1464
Marilia MoraisNow 1522
If they win+21→ 1543
If they lose-27→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
1.14
Takedown avg.
TBD
24%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Julie KedzieMarilia Morais
1500155020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (33%)
10 (63%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marilia Morais61%
Julie Kedzie 39%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Marilia Morais a 61% favorite over Julie Kedzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Marilia Morais holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1478, a 44-point edge.

Julie Kedzie enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marilia Morais enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julie Kedzie finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Marilia Morais 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.