Julija Stoliarenko vs Roxanne Modafferi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-2Record25-20-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighter HouseTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julija StoliarenkoRoxanne Modafferi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julija Stoliarenko66%
Roxanne Modafferi 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Julija Stoliarenko a 66% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roxanne Modafferi's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1559), separated by just 8 points.
Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Julija Stoliarenko finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Roxanne Modafferi 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.