Julija Stoliarenko vs Sarah Alpar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-2Record9-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighter HouseTeamAmerican Elite MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julija StoliarenkoSarah Alpar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Julija Stoliarenko and Sarah Alpar within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1555), separated by just 4 points.
Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sarah Alpar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julija Stoliarenko finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Alpar 44%.
Julija Stoliarenko and Sarah Alpar share 1 common opponent: Jessica-Rose Clark.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.