Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Albini vs Mohammed Usman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
42,0"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight237 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamWar Room Kickboxing & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior AlbiniNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Mohammed UsmanNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.98
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
51%
Strike accuracy
39%
6.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0.56
38%
Takedown accuracy
14%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Junior AlbiniMohammed Usman
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
6 (35%)
Submission
2 (18%)
2 (12%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior Albini60%
Mohammed Usman 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior Albini a 60% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1638), separated by just 3 points.

Junior Albini enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Junior Albini finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.