Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Albini vs Thomas Petersen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach74"
265 lbsWeight257 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamSpartan MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior AlbiniNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Thomas PetersenNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.98
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
51%
Strike accuracy
60%
6.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.54
Takedown avg.
3.01
38%
Takedown accuracy
43%
100%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Junior AlbiniThomas Petersen
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
6 (35%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (12%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Thomas Petersen63%
Junior Albini 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Petersen a 63% favorite over Junior Albini in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Junior Albini's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

Junior Albini enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Junior Albini finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.