Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior dos Santos vs Oleg Taktarov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record17-5-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
250 lbsWeight210 lbs
Champion TeamTeamFreelance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior dos SantosNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630
Oleg TaktarovNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.49
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.30
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.06
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Junior dos SantosOleg Taktarov
16502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (70%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
1 (4%)
Submission
14 (82%)
6 (26%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Junior dos Santos and Oleg Taktarov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1650), separated by just 8 points.

Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Oleg Taktarov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Junior dos Santos finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Oleg Taktarov 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.