Junior dos Santos vs Shamil Abdurakhimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach76"
250 lbsWeight263 lbs
Champion TeamTeamPeresvet FT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Junior dos SantosShamil Abdurakhimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Junior dos Santos55%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Junior dos Santos a 55% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Abdurakhimov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1650), separated by just 8 points.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Junior dos Santos finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.
Junior dos Santos and Shamil Abdurakhimov share 2 common opponents: Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.