Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Tafa vs Vinny Magalhaes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Junior Tafa
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Junior Tafa

“The Juggernaut”

7-6-0HeavyweightUFC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

7-6-0Record19-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior TafaNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Vinny MagalhaesNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
52%
Strike accuracy
24%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.97
52%
Strike defense
68%
0
Takedown avg.
1.55
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
73%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Junior TafaVinny Magalhaes
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
0 (0%)
Submission
15 (79%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior Tafa70%
Vinny Magalhaes 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior Tafa a 70% favorite over Vinny Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1556), separated by just 4 points.

Vinny Magalhaes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Junior Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vinny Magalhaes 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.