Combat Edge Intelligence

Jussier Formiga vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamEagles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jussier FormigaNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1740
If they win+15→ 1755
If they lose-17→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
40%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
64%
Strike defense
52%
1.82
Takedown avg.
2.94
35%
Takedown accuracy
39%
87%
Takedown defense
62%
0.58
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Jussier FormigaTagir Ulanbekov
17001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
11 (46%)
Submission
8 (47%)
13 (54%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Tagir Ulanbekov70%
Jussier Formiga 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Ulanbekov a 70% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1740), separated by just 14 points.

Jussier Formiga finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.