Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Burlinson vs Neiman Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach73.5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Dungeon BJJ and MMA AcademyTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin BurlinsonNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Neiman GracieNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
9.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin BurlinsonNeiman Gracie
160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
6 (75%)
Submission
9 (69%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Burlinson63%
Neiman Gracie 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Burlinson a 63% favorite over Neiman Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1645), separated by just 0 points.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Neiman Gracie 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.