Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Edwards vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record18-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin EdwardsNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
42%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
51%
Strike defense
49%
2.14
Takedown avg.
0
27%
Takedown accuracy
0%
27%
Takedown defense
40%
0.97
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin EdwardsKyle Prepolec
1600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
8 (80%)
Submission
4 (22%)
1 (10%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Justin Edwards and Kyle Prepolec within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Edwards finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.