Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Guthrie vs Tamerlan Temirov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record4-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
Colorado Fight FactoryTeamDr. Makoi Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin GuthrieNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Tamerlan TemirovNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.78
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin GuthrieTamerlan Temirov
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
7 (39%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (33%)
Decision
3 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Tamerlan Temirov70%
Justin Guthrie 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tamerlan Temirov a 70% favorite over Justin Guthrie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Guthrie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1573), separated by just 2 points.

Justin Guthrie finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tamerlan Temirov 25%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.