Justin James vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
TBDTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin JamesNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Stolze53%
Justin James 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Stolze a 53% favorite over Justin James in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1526), separated by just 6 points.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Justin James finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.