Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Ledet vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Ledet
us

Justin Ledet

“El Blanco”

9-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1602Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin LedetNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
39%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
49%
Strike defense
54%
0.23
Takedown avg.
0.15
50%
Takedown accuracy
20%
43%
Takedown defense
54%
0.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin LedetMarcin Prachnio
1600165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
5 (56%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (22%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Justin Ledet and Marcin Prachnio within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1611), separated by just 9 points.

Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Ledet finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.