Justin Levens vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-8-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
CSWTeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
Justin Levens is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcio Alexandre Junior carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1498
If they lose-17→ 1466
If they win+25→ 1492
If they lose-23→ 1444
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin LevensMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior54%
Justin Levens 46%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 54% favorite over Justin Levens in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Levens's way (48%).
Justin Levens holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1483 to 1467, a 16-point edge.
Justin Levens enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Levens finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.