Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin McElfresh vs Trevor Makengo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight239 lbs
TBDTeamC-MAC

What's at stake

Trevor Makengo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Justin McElfresh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Justin McElfreshNow 1516
If they win+17→ 1533
If they lose-15→ 1501
Trevor MakengoNow 1531
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
12.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin McElfreshTrevor Makengo
15001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
3 (50%)
Submission
1 (50%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Makengo63%
Justin McElfresh 37%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 63% favorite over Justin McElfresh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Trevor Makengo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1516, a 15-point edge.

Justin McElfresh finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.