Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Sumter vs Konrad Rusiński

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
80,0"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Fighting Arts Academy CTTeamOleksiejczuk Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin SumterNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Konrad RusińskiNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
34%
Strike defense
TBD
2.87
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin SumterKonrad Rusiński
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
5 (56%)
Submission
4 (50%)
2 (22%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Konrad Rusiński62%
Justin Sumter 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Konrad Rusiński a 62% favorite over Justin Sumter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1564), separated by just 9 points.

Justin Sumter finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Konrad Rusiński 75%.

Justin Sumter carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.