Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Tafa vs Tedd Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Tafa
au

Justin Tafa

“Bad Man”

7-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record7-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamWilliams Combat Grappling

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin TafaNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Tedd WilliamsNow 1605
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
53%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin TafaTedd Williams
15501600165020002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Tafa54%
Tedd Williams 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Tafa a 54% favorite over Tedd Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1605), separated by just 3 points.

Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tedd Williams 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.