Justin Tafa vs Tim Hague
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record21-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
74"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight264 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamUFC Gym Edmonton
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin TafaTim Hague
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Tafa70%
Tim Hague 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Tafa a 70% favorite over Tim Hague in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Hague's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.
Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tim Hague 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.