Combat Edge Intelligence

Kēstin McClain vs Maheshate Hayisaer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record10-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach71"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roughhouse BoxingTeamEnbo Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kēstin McClainNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Maheshate HayisaerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
TBD
Strike accuracy
29%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.64
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kēstin McClainMaheshate Hayisaer
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (20%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (20%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Kēstin McClain62%
Maheshate Hayisaer 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kēstin McClain a 62% favorite over Maheshate Hayisaer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1618), separated by just 5 points.

Kēstin McClain enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kēstin McClain finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.