Combat Edge Intelligence

Kai Asakura vs Naoki Inoue

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record21-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach71"
134 lbsWeight134 lbs
Japan Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kai AsakuraNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Naoki InoueNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
33%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.37
52%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
2.50

Trajectory

Kai AsakuraNaoki Inoue
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (62%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
3 (14%)
Submission
9 (43%)
5 (24%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kai Asakura and Naoki Inoue within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1710), separated by just 2 points.

Kai Asakura finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Naoki Inoue 52%.

Kai Asakura and Naoki Inoue share 4 common opponents: Juan Archuleta, Yuki Motoya, Kenta Takizawa and Hiromasa Ougikubo.

Naoki Inoue carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

WinKO (knee to the body) · 2023
Yuki Motoya
WinDecision (Split) · 2025
WinTKO (knee to the body and punches) · 2023
Juan Archuleta
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2021
Kenta Takizawa
WinSubmission (Straight Armbar) · 2022
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2021
Hiromasa Ougikubo
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2021