Kaiwen Li vs Lee Gibson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
150 lbsWeight154 lbs
K-1 GymTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kaiwen LiLee Gibson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lee Gibson60%
Kaiwen Li 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Lee Gibson a 60% favorite over Kaiwen Li in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaiwen Li's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1560), separated by just 4 points.
Kaiwen Li enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kaiwen Li finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Lee Gibson 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.