Combat Edge Intelligence

Kajan Johnson vs Maheshate Hayisaer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-13-1Record10-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamEnbo Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kajan JohnsonNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Maheshate HayisaerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
43%
Strike accuracy
29%
1.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.64
64%
Strike defense
54%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
45%
0.17
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kajan JohnsonMaheshate Hayisaer
160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (35%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
8 (35%)
Submission
1 (10%)
7 (30%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer66%
Kajan Johnson 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 66% favorite over Kajan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1618), separated by just 3 points.

Kajan Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kajan Johnson finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 50%.

Kajan Johnson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.