Combat Edge Intelligence

Kamil Oniszczuk vs Nick Penner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Penner
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Nick Penner

“The Quiet Assassin”

11-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1621Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
194 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFrank Lee's Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kamil OniszczukNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Nick PennerNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.60
TBD
Strike defense
39%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kamil OniszczukNick Penner
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (15%)
Submission
4 (36%)
6 (46%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Kamil Oniszczuk84%
Nick Penner 16%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kamil Oniszczuk a 84% favorite over Nick Penner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1621), separated by just 7 points.

Kamil Oniszczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Nick Penner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kamil Oniszczuk finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Nick Penner 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.