Combat Edge Intelligence

Kanako Murata vs Tabatha Ricci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record12-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'2"
34,0"Reach 61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamBrazilian Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kanako MurataNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Tabatha RicciNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
4
57%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.83
53%
Strike defense
58%
3.38
Takedown avg.
2.51
56%
Takedown accuracy
8%
100%
Takedown defense
65%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Kanako MurataTabatha Ricci
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
4 (33%)
Submission
3 (25%)
6 (50%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Tabatha Ricci63%
Kanako Murata 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tabatha Ricci a 63% favorite over Kanako Murata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1657), separated by just 3 points.

Kanako Murata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kanako Murata finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tabatha Ricci 42%.

Kanako Murata and Tabatha Ricci share 1 common opponent: Virna Jandiroba.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2021
Virna Jandiroba
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026