Karl Albrektsson vs Leonardo Guimaraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75.50"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Pancrase Gym SwedenTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1528
If they lose-29→ 1480
If they win+19→ 1451
If they lose-13→ 1419
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karl AlbrektssonLeonardo Guimaraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson70%
Leonardo Guimaraes 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 70% favorite over Leonardo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1432, a 77-point edge.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.
Karl Albrektsson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.