Karl Albrektsson vs Scott Graham
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record3-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75.50"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Pancrase Gym SwedenTeamIntegrated Martial Arts
What's at stake
Scott Graham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Karl Albrektsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
If they win+23→ 1547
If they lose-25→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karl AlbrektssonScott Graham
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Scott Graham60%
Karl Albrektsson 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Scott Graham a 60% favorite over Karl Albrektsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Scott Graham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1509, a 15-point edge.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Scott Graham 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.