Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Albrektsson vs Todd Medina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Todd Medina
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Todd Medina

“El Tiburon”

11-9-0Light HeavyweightRMMA

1515Average

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record11-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75.50"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Pancrase Gym SwedenTeamCarlson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karl AlbrektssonNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Todd MedinaNow 1515
If they win+16→ 1531
If they lose-16→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Karl AlbrektssonTodd Medina
1450150015502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
3 (21%)
Submission
7 (64%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Todd Medina52%
Karl Albrektsson 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Todd Medina a 52% favorite over Karl Albrektsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1515), separated by just 6 points.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Todd Medina enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Karl Albrektsson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Todd Medina 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.